Men - Women
West Regional Simulation
2016 - 2017 - 2018



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



SchoolAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
San Francisco 1.5 56 65.1 25.7 7.4 1.8 0.2
Oregon 2.1 73 26.6 43.9 20.5 7.5 1.5 0.1
Stanford 3.1 99 5.7 20.2 39.7 26.0 6.6 1.9 0.1
Boise State 3.7 116 2.4 9.0 26.4 43.0 15.8 3.5 0.1
Washington 5.0 158 0.3 1.4 5.4 16.7 48.0 23.9 4.1 0.5
California 5.8 187 0.7 4.9 25.5 53.9 12.1 2.4 0.5 0.1
Arizona 7.4 251 0.1 0.2 2.5 13.3 50.0 18.4 8.6 4.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
UCLA 9.3 305 0.1 0.1 1.9 14.3 26.2 20.1 13.5 9.3 5.8 4.6 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2
Portland 10.0 320 1.1 7.6 19.4 20.9 15.6 12.8 8.9 6.3 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1
Arizona State 10.6 335 0.1 0.5 5.9 13.4 16.2 17.8 14.1 11.7 8.6 4.5 4.4 2.4 0.7 0.1
San Jose St. 10.7 339 0.1 0.2 4.5 11.9 16.5 18.2 15.3 12.6 7.8 5.9 4.2 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
Loyola Marymount 12.7 381 0.6 2.8 6.1 9.8 13.8 13.9 15.2 13.0 9.8 8.1 5.7 1.1 0.2 0.1
Idaho 13.1 391 0.7 2.4 4.0 8.2 10.5 14.3 14.8 15.2 11.4 10.6 6.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
Cal Poly 14.0 410 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.6 7.6 11.5 12.6 15.9 15.2 14.4 10.4 3.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
Washington St. 14.5 420 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.5 6.1 7.9 11.6 14.6 16.1 15.9 13.4 5.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
Oregon State 14.5 421 0.1 1.0 1.9 3.4 5.9 8.2 10.6 13.7 17.7 17.4 13.1 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
UC Santa Barbara 15.7 452 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.8 4.6 7.2 10.1 13.4 18.0 24.7 10.2 5.0 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
UC Riverside 18.5 539 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.1 5.6 12.6 31.6 23.8 13.0 6.2 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1
Cal St. Fullerton 19.5 575 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 5.7 17.4 24.7 23.2 13.8 6.4 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.2
UC Davis 20.0 594 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.0 3.9 14.2 22.0 23.7 14.3 9.8 5.2 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1
Eastern Washington 20.9 626 0.1 0.5 2.0 7.3 12.3 19.4 24.0 16.2 9.2 5.7 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
San Diego 23.0 693 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.4 7.2 13.9 18.0 16.5 14.6 11.6 7.5 4.2 1.5 0.4
Gonzaga 23.8 718 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.2 7.8 13.6 18.5 16.7 16.1 11.8 6.9 2.8 0.5 0.1
Grand Canyon 24.0 723 0.1 0.7 1.2 3.9 8.4 13.0 15.2 16.1 15.6 11.6 9.0 4.8 0.5 0.1 0.1
Sacramento St. 24.1 727 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.8 6.8 11.9 15.5 16.3 17.9 14.0 8.6 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.1
Seattle U. 25.5 772 0.1 0.6 2.6 5.3 8.5 13.5 15.3 19.2 19.4 10.6 3.6 0.9 0.3
Long Beach St. 26.2 792 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.6 6.1 9.4 12.8 19.4 20.6 17.0 6.0 2.6 0.9
UNLV 27.6 836 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.3 6.3 11.9 21.0 29.3 15.4 6.1 2.4
Portland State 30.0 911 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 5.5 13.0 26.9 19.4 12.7
St. Mary's (Cal.) 32.2 961 0.1 0.5 0.8 3.1 10.9 13.8 15.4
Santa Clara 32.4 967 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 4.2 9.8 13.2 11.9
San Diego St. 32.6 970 0.2 0.2 2.6 6.5 11.6 15.6
Pacific 32.6 971 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.2 7.6 12.3 13.3
Fresno State 32.7 972 0.1 0.1 0.8 3.2 7.1 11.3 13.0
USC 34.7 1013 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 6.2
UC Irvine 34.9 1017 0.1 0.5 0.5 2.2 4.0 5.8
Cal St. Bakersfield 35.8 1034 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6
Cal St. Northridge 36.8 1058 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1
Pepperdine 38.4 1100 0.1 0.1
Hawaii 40.0 1212